Category: 2012 Elections

What Are Iowa Republicans Looking For In A Senate Candidate?

mystery candidateThere is one certainty about the pool of voters who will decide the impending Republican Senate Primary–they won’t necessarily be the “average” Iowan.  Some of the folks who show up to the polls on June 3rd, 2014 will surely be disaffected Independents (and some meddling Democrats), but the bulk of voters will be fairly hardcore Republicans and single issue activists.  This group will have a specific set of traits they are looking for in a candidate, so the question is what are they?

The focus here today will not be on issues, policy prescriptions, and deeply-held core beliefs–we will get into that down the road–but rather on the more admittedly surface level of broad characteristics.  I believe that the candidate who emerges will be …

Candidate Dave Edwards Makes His Case For Polk County Chair

Dave EdwardsLate last week we brought you a message from Polk County Chair candidate Will Rogers.  Today we bring you a word from the other candidate in the race, Dave Edwards.  One of these two men will be declared leader of the Polk County GOP Tuesday evening.

Last year Mr. Edwards ran for the Iowa Senate in District 16 and, though he lost, showed a great deal of courage in running in the first place.  The voter registration numbers for this district on the day of the vote were: D-16,353; R-7,591; NP-10,410…enough said.  Though running against tremendous odds, Edwards put in a lot of work and was unafraid to talk about the non-PC issues negatively impacting his district.  If he should prevail Tuesday he will …

Results For The Senate District 22 Special Election

Charles SchneiderToday’s special election for Senate District 22 are being tabulated.  Charles Schneider is the winner, beating Desmund Adams in both Polk and Dallas Counties.  Here are the vote counts:

Candidate Polk County Dallas County Total Votes
Desmund Adams 2,712 1,405 4,117
Charles Schneider 2,865 2,506 5,371
Write-in 5 0 5
Totals  5,582 3,911 9,493

Congratulations to both candidates for their work and willingness to serve the public!…

The Harsh Republican Reality of the Fiscal Cliff

I break from a majority of Republicans on the current fiscal cliff negotiations and believe the rate increases that Democrats are seeking should eventually be agreed to. More specifically I would support John Boehner signing on to taking the top bracket from 35% to 37-38% (short of the 39.6% Obama wants).

Of course the argument against doing so is the superior one—essentially that the Senate and the President want more money to spend while having not passed a budget in 3 years and having not yet put any real spending cuts or entitlement reforms on the table. But the two Parties have been at a stalemate over this issue for years and in my view the trump card is that last month they held the …

TCR Iowa Alert: House District 43 Recount Results

Chris Hagenow, Iowa House District 23, Iowa LegislatureChris Hagenow is the winner in Iowa House District 43 after today’s recount.  The official recount results are: Hagenow: 8,742; Judkins: 8,719; write-ins: 17.  17,478 votes were counted.  The recount resulted in one additional vote for Hagenow from the unofficial count on election day.

The recount was requested by Democratic challenger Susan Judkins after the official results showed that she lost by a 22 votes against incumbant candidate Chris Hagenow.  Both candidates are well known within the district and in the only public forum held with both candidates, there was limited differences in responses to questions from both.  The district includes Clive, Windsor Heights and parts of West Des Moines.  Representative Hagenow has represented the area (with some …

View From The Trail (Part 2 of 2): An Iowa Senate Campaign Chair Weighs In

((This is second installment of a 2 part piece, to start with Part 1 click here)) 

In the end, where we failed was to reach what is popularly called the Low Information Voter. These are voters who for whatever reason get very little to no political information, and what they do get is confined to a very narrow set of media vehicles. By targeting local news and other prime listening/watching avenues, the Democrats were successful in reaching those voters, supplemented by their usual other logistical operations of doorknocking, calling, and absentees.

We did quite a bit better this time on the logistical side with doorknocking, calling, signs, and candidate events. The Victory centers, though not perfect, were an improvement on the past. I believe …

View From The Trail: Matt Green on what Republicans did right and wrong in 2012

((Below is Part 1 of a guest piece written by Matt Green, the link for continuing to Part 2 is at the bottom of page ))

I would like to thank Justin Arnold for the opportunity to give my observations on the 2012 Iowa elections to the followers of the Conservative Reader. As the chair for candidate Larry Kruse in an Iowa Senate race, I hope to share my experiences from the campaign trail from a southeast Iowa perspective in district 42, which comprises all of Lee and Henry county as well as east Jefferson and southern Washington counties.

The aim here is to concisely convey, as much as possible, what was done both right and wrong from a ground-level view, in the hopes of …

How The Iowa Senate Was Lost: Part 2 of 2

((Click here to read Part 1 from the beginning))

Picking up where we left off in Part 1, here is a look at the last two Senate defeats we are reviewing.

SD 30— Reisetter (R) defeated by Danielson (D)

A few factors made this seat a tough one to pick off for Republicans from the jump.  For starters, besides having the advantage of incumbency, Danielson was pretty much a perfect candidate for this district on paper.  Added to this was the presidential election with University of Northern Iowa students and faculty representing a significant portion of the district.  The youth vote always favors Democrats and was going to be fairly high (more on this in a moment).

Of all the races on this list …

Romney’s Project Orca: A Whale Of A Failure?

In case anyone hasn’t seen this yet the article below is well worth giving a read.  It has been making the rounds recently (first saw on John Deethe’s blog), and is a stunning first-hand account of a Mitt Romney volunteers unfortunate experience on Election Tuesday.  I don’t have any reason to doubt this story, and perhaps some of the turnout failure for the Republican nominee can be explained by situations like this occuring across the country…


(Via Website – Ace of Spades HQ)

November 08, 2012

The Unmitigated Disaster Known As Project ORCA

What is Project Orca? Well, this is what they told us:

Project ORCA is a massive undertaking – the Republican Party’s newest, unprecedented and most technologically advanced plan to win …

How the Iowa Senate Was Lost: Part 1 of 2

The way TCR: Iowa set the table for the Iowa Senate’s 22 contested races was as follows: 9 races we predicted heavily favored one Party or the other, 8 races we predicted as leaning one way or the other, and 5 were deemed toss-ups.

The reason I was personally so bullish on a Senate takeover by Republicans was that if these predictions held Democrats would have had to run the table of the 5 toss-up races to keep control of the chamber.  In the end, and impressively I might add, this is pretty much what they did.  While most of my prognosticating here was accurate, they won victories in 4 of the 5 I deemed toss-ups and managed to flip one seat I had leaning …

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